|GIF by Timothy Burke (@bubbaprog)|
- Steals per personal foul (ST/PF). Also known as handchecking ability, or Craftiness.
- Ability to draw fouls (Free Throw Attempts/(Minutes Played * Usage %)). Jordan Morgan is not as bad at this as you think.
- Three-Point Specialization (3FG/FG). The "Just A Shooter" Award.
- Free Throw Percentage (FT%). For those annoying players who just Win The Game. Since all players are supposed to be able to shoot free throws reasonably well FT% only counts half as much as the other three.
All stats come from Sports Reference College Basketball, except for team adjusted tempo, which is pulled from the front page at kenpom. Who is the most annoying player in the Big Ten? Find out after the jump!
First, the top ten in each factor. Only players that averaged more than 5 minutes per game before the Big Ten Tournament were considered. Here are the leaders in steals per personal foul:
|4||Roy Devyn Marble||IOWA||0.966|
Aaron Craft was further down this chart last year, but in 2013-14 he's right near the top, just behind his Wisconsin doppelgänger, Ben Brust. This factor is dominated by backcourt players, in particular Spartans, Buckeyes, Hawkeyes, and Gophers.
Next up, the ability to draw fouls:
Hanner Mosquera-Perea leads the way here in limited action. He averaged one free throw for every five minutes he was on the court; the Big Ten average was one free throw for every 12.5 minutes per player. Aaron White is the only player in the top ten of the first two factors.
Three-point specialization is fittingly third:
The three-point specialization leaderboard is composed entirely of part-time players; Ray Gallegos averages 26.2 minutes per game, the most of anybody on this list.
Lastly, we have free throw percentage:
To compute tempo-free hate, we perform the following calculations.
- For each factor, I calculated the league mean and standard deviation and converted each player's raw factor score into a normalized z-score. Each of these stats in a rate stat, so I defined a player's Hate Rate as HR = z(ST/PF) + z(ADF) + z(3FG/FG) + 0.5*z(FT%).
- You can't build up hate if you're not playing. So, to calculate a player's total Hate, I multiplied the Hate Rate by Minutes played (HATE = HR*MP).
- To calculate Tempo-Free Hate, we divided a player's total Hate by his team's number of games played and adjusted tempo (TFH = HATE/(G*Tempo)).
Crunching the numbers produces your 2013-14 B1G leaders in hatred!
|4||Roy Devyn Marble||IOWA||0.909|
Ben Brust is so far off the charts this year, it's like he's 40 feet away from everyone else *ducks*. Not only is he the leader in ST/PF and FT%, he's also the highest ranked three-point specialist who averages more than 30 minutes per game. Finishing a distant second is Brust's teammate Josh Gasser, whose inability to steal the ball keeps him from being quite as hated. Aaron Craft finishes third, held back by his poor three-point shooting ability. You can't hate him that much when you're thinking about him shooting three pointers.
Using TFH, we can assign each team its "Most Hateable Player" award.
|4||Roy Devyn Marble||IOWA||0.909|
There's a strong relationship between a team having a very hateable player and that team being good at basketball. The exception: Nebrasketball. Everybody loves Nebrasketball.
To get more insight into the relationship between TFH and actual basketball ability, here's a scatterplot of the 114 players we considered, with a loess curve on top:
Comparing this year's chart to last year's, not only will you notice that I've upgraded from Excel to ggplot, you'll see that tempo-free hate is somewhat repeatable. Nnanna Egwu is the least hateable player in the league for the second year running. Who can hate a center who can't create his own shot?
Jordan Morgan and Jon Horford are basically tied for being the most likeable player relative to performance and they're in the same spot on the chart that Mitch McGary had last year, before he went beastmode in the tournament. Austin Hollins, Craft, and Nik Stauskas all make repeat appearances in the Top Ten of Hate.
And all those Northwestern guys are at the bottom in Offensive Rating - Defensive Rating. Poor Northwestern. They wouldn't have turned down the CBI.