tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35971090.post7165696189126638427..comments2019-01-01T21:21:13.202-05:00Comments on The Hoover Street Rag: KRACHing UpGeoffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09461267960136260783noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35971090.post-30185879293876926402018-03-30T15:05:00.299-04:002018-03-30T15:05:00.299-04:00Your probability calculations are off: the probabi...Your probability calculations are off: the probability that one of two independent events occurs is not the sum of their probabilites; if it were, then if you flipped two coins simultaneously, this would imply a 100% chance that one of them would come up Heads.<br /><br />Using 14.39% for hockey and 23.69% for basketball, here are the probabilities:<br /><br />Both win: 3.4%<br />At least one wins: 34.7%<br />Exactly one wins: 31.2%<br />Neither wins: 65.3%Scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15836866616030819589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35971090.post-64017859479720888162018-03-29T18:55:10.258-04:002018-03-29T18:55:10.258-04:00Actually the chance to win either is a+b-a*b or ab...Actually the chance to win either is a+b-a*b or about %3 less than you calculated.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03998492528949428350noreply@blogger.com